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I don't buy the whole argument that people want/are better off with a new experience. If you really look at what is happening with PS4 and Xbox One we can see that both are just upgrades of PS3 and Xbox 360. So people obviously like to just upgrade as they are showing through sales of both systems of which both are selling really well despite one having a large lead over the other. We'll see how Scorpio performs but I am sure Switch will perform well because it has a market that might be a tad different than Sony and Microsoft. The question is how often people are willing to upgrade their consoles? My guess is that both Sony and Microsoft are testing the market hoping people want to switch console quickly simple upgrades just as the mobile industry does.