Predict Zelda: BotW Shipments for the Quarter [I predict 3.7mil, Yours?]

[TheWPCTraveler]

John2290 said:

LipeJJ said:

I don't know about Wii U, but your Switch prediction is already wrong.

See, Switch sold about at least 1.5m so far (according to current sales data + researches and some common sense) and the attach rate for Zelda in regions we already have data is simply impressive (ranging from 75% to 97%), and that's only physically. So I think it's pretty safe to say that Zelda already sold something around 1.2m so far, and the month is not even over yet, plus we're talking about shipments so numbers will be bigger, naturally.

 

Btw, my prediction:

- Switch: 2.2m

- Wii U: 800k

- Total: 3m

I'm talking sales.

Then assume 90% sell-through for the game plus a 5% digital ratio (both versions). Assume, as well, that Japan is the bellwether of the world (60% attach rate).  That would translate to at least 1.32 million retail shipments for the Switch version, and an extra 65k or so digital sales.

That is what I'm assuming is the best-case scenario to make you look good. In reality, I see a slightly lower sell-through raio, a higher attach rate, and a slightly lower digital ratio.