Will the Switch outsell the PS4 in Japan? And what effect would this have?

[Pyro as Bill]

Mummelmann said:

TLDR: It's just way too early to call 100 million lifetime sales for Switch and such a belief has no basis in available data, or any grounds in the current outlooks and movements of the market. Those who say "yeah, well, the Switch is something new and different so you can't predict based on past trends!" are also shooting themselves in the foot since that would indicate that they have just as little sense as to what's going to happen on the market as everyone who opposes these ideas and views (since no proper data exists that would extract any meaningful conclusions).

As far as CoD, FIFA, Minecraft, GTA online(possibly) go it's the closest thing to a portable PS4/PS3/X360/XB1/PC.

Nintendo handhelds can do ~70M minimum.

HH/home libraries are combined and any doubles become DLC/new IPs ie Mario Kart home + Mario Kart portable become a single Mario Kart and a new IP or DLC. For Nintendo IPs we now get the HQ version.

There's a good possibility we'll see the return of motion controlled sports/fitness games and this time they'll be portable. Ignore the 'Wii Fit cazualz now play Candy Crush instead' myth.

Would 3DS have sold better if it had TV-out, better graphics, a mainline Zelda, local multiplayer CoD, FIFA, Minecraft and a respectable sequel to Wii Sports/Fit?

Add the fact that it's Nintendo. They can suprise everyone and pull a megahit out of nowhere.