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As for switch it doesnt need to sell combine 3ds+wiiu lifetime or there lifetime divided by half.

To be successful it just needs to sell a good amount and make money for the company with great output on software.

Wii install base was merely 12mil vs ps1+2 install base (20mil around each) and despite that the software for many games were beyond crazy (games were selling 2/3/4/ even 5mil+ copies