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Barkley said:

Switch is Nintendo's Home + Portable console for the generation.

It sells substantially less then the 3ds which is also the worst selling Nintendo Portable and was only part of it's dedicated hardware business.

Fans are very 'positive' about launch sales.

                                That's excessive certainty!

The problem of  your and others that have this opinion , is that you're 100% sure that switch replaces 3ds too and that all of the gaming community sees it as that.

No, my friends!

Just because you think that it replaces 3DS too, doesn't mean that everyone think that switch is 3ds successor, not at its current form at least! 

Hence,  it's very early to do comparison with switch vs 3DS+WII U or switch vs 3ds.

Do you remember when Nintendo was saying that ds isn't a gba successor but a third pillar ?  People espoused that, that's why gba sales didn't drop a lot and fat ds sold just 19m in two years! The cheaper and slim, ds lite killed it in 2006 ( since the vox popouli finally realized that ds is the successor of gba ) , which sold 94m! Imagine now with switch, which has no backwards compatability and it's not a traditional handheld console, since it's also a home console!

You have to also take into account that in Europe switch cost  is by 100 euros higher than very high initial price of 3DS... When 3ds was struggling!

Most 3DS owners have bought a 3DS system at 169-199 euros, and some other at 100... ( 2DS )

Let's wait for 3DS support to die like wii u did in early  2016!

I'm pretty sure that in the first year, that mostly wii u owners and owners ( hardcore  ) of previous Nintendo home console swill be buying switch! It needs a price drop or a more afforable, portable and durable revision for a considerable amount of 3DS owners to jump!