| superchunk said: Part of my reasoning to hold on to that prediction is http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii®1=All&cons2=PS3®2=All&cons3=X360®3=All&start=39236&end=39600 notice how Wii's trend, while continuously jumpin up and down, continues to slowly move up during the slowest part of the year. Plus, you add in the continued increase in supply and the massive amounts I think the Wii will outsell the PS360 this holiday... I'm right. Wii will be greater than 50% by years end. |
The thing is that we can (I have) work out the cap that Wii supply will be working to by the end of December, so without a further increase in production (MORE than 2.4 million per month!) they will not be able to supply more than 44 million Wii's by the end of the year.
(take away the remaining stock shelf as well, meaning about 43.5 million sales)
This means for your prediction to come true, PS3 + 360 will have to have a combined LTD of less than 43.5 million.
In the last 9 weeks of last year they both sold over 3 million... I think it is safe to say that the 360 will be at least 24 million, and the PS3 will be at least 20 million.
That is the worst case scenario for PS360, and best case for Wii... so I have a feeling you will be close but no cigar.
