Bold Prediction: Switch Will Sell 4mil Units by Years End in Japan!

[KBG29]

zorg1000 said:

KBG29 said:
I would be 100% behind this if the thing had 4G LTE, calling, texting, and at least a couple dozen of the most popular apps. In fact I think a Nintendo Phone would be the biggest selling Phone platform in Japan.

The Switch I think will struggle after the inital launch, and will only pick up after a smaller more portable SKU is released, both at a lower price, and a seperate model with 4G, Texting, and calling at the $399.99 price point.

You are really overestimating the appeal of a gaming phone.

The majority of people who game on phones are not looking for the type of games on dedicated gaming devices, they primarily just want to play some simplistic little time wasters with little to no initial cost. They are not looking to play the more complex and immersive games that cost $40-60 that appear on dedicated gaming devices.

Only a very small and niche group of people will get rid of their iPhones, Galaxies, etc. for a Nintendo branded gaming phone. Competing with smartphones would be stupid, instead they should try to coexist, which is what they are doing.

A small niche of about 300 million people. 

There are millions and millions of people that would guve up android and ios it the could get a phone that played, Pokemon, Halo, Uncharted, or GTA, among many other titles.

Sure, mini games and free to play will always be popular in mobile, and those games have a place on a Nintendo Phone as well. In fact many people in the games industry in Japan are saying they would absolutely love to see those games on Switch.

Handhelds can not live in concert with mobile, they have to battle or they will become to irrelevant for great handheld games to be developed for. I can't imagine anyone that loves games wanting a future where ios and android is the top of the line mobile gaming experience.

Also, with the Switch and the whole concept Xbox and PlayStation are embracing, your $60 purchase will play on every one of the devices you own within that ecosystem. So yes people won't pay $60 for a mobile game, but they will pay it for a game hat works on thier phone, thier console, their tablet, their pc, and so on.