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If $199 PS4 is coming,  then 2017 will be peak. It has the best library, it gets 4 system sellers with marketing rights in Destiny 2, SWBF2, RDR2 and their own GT:S

They will ride it out in 2018 with bundles and then announce the PS5 early 2019 at the PS Meeting.

2017: ~18-19M

2018: ~16M

2019: ~10M

By Jan 2020 ~100M lifetime sales

Of course depends when PS5 comes out, maybe it's a 7 year gen and it comes in 2020.

Barozi said:
X1 sales could peak due to Scorpio. At the same time I don't see a single reason why PS4 is supposed to sell more than last year or the year before that. Pro, PSVR and Slim came out last year and they didn't do much.

I dunno why Xbox could peak due to Scorpio if Pro didn't do much, who says Scorpio will do much?