It'll do well for a fighting game. It doesn't have to do Splatoon-like numbers to be considered a breakaway success since fighting games don't have as high of a sales ceiling as shooters; if it does close to 2m, it should be guaranteed a sequel. I like what I've seen of the game and think it has enough distinction to stand out from popular fighting games like Smash, Street Fighter, Tekken, KoF, Mortal Kombat and Marvel vs. Capcom. It has casual appeal because of motion controls (while still offering standard controls), looks very accessable and fun, it looks like it has enough of a metagame for core gamers and it has a visual style that we haven't seen in fighting games since maybe Power Stone to help it visually stand out from the crowd. As long as Nintendo can deliver the content, advertise it well and not drop the ball horribly like Capcom did with SFV, it should sell fine. The only real knock I have on it right now are the really generic names like 'Spring Man' and "Master Mummy".
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