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Geralt said:

Nintendo is shipping two million i am willing to bet they will only sell half of that. Here are my reasonings:

Nintendo does better during holidays

The reveal has been a disaster

> your opinion

While the concept of the switch is awesome it has not been taken well by even some fans due to low battery life

> you seem to forget forum users != actual demographic. Sure we are gaming lovers, but we're no majority

Zelda isnt exclusive

> Twilight Princess sold less on Gamecube than on Wii, though it makes the Gamecube version more expensive for collectors nowadays.

besides, Wii U + Zelda = 350/360. Switch + Zelda = 350/360

While a Wii U owner might consider getting the game on Wii U, a new buyer should go for the latest system

Japan continues to be a weak market

> yet is the market that's gonna benefit from the concept the most

Wii u left a bad taste in some peoples mouths

> I guess this point's legit, though only Wii U owners should feel that way

Paid online makes it less desirable for a second console

> every console should be a second gaming device, PC is the way. And everyday people tell you it's not even that relevent compared to other paid onlines, due to concept

No backwards compatibility 

> but seems easy for them to port Wii U games to Switch

Price is too high

> price is high, but gaming isn't a necessity, it's a hobby. Yet it's okay and it can get price drops.