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Neodegenerate on 02 February 2017
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irstupid said:
Neodegenerate said:

Sorry but no.  A good launch doesn't happen in that week.  It doesn't even happen in that month.  Early adopters are buying regardless of the launch line-up.  Pre-orders are being bought by people who have no interest in the system at all.  They are buying it in hopes to turn it around for more money on Ebay.  The same way it has happened with every console thusfar.  That number might not be huge, but it exists and is only a portion of my point.

If you are a baseball fan let's see if this helps.  You equating having Zelda as all you need for a great launch lineup is the same as me saying that a team of people who can't hit above .200 is a great offense because they have one guy who hits above .400.  It holds no damn weight.

I edited the hell outta this, I feel this makes my point better.

So then shouldn't one consider  good launch line-up being the first few months of the system and not day 1.

I mean if the system is going to sell out regardless in teh first month/shipment, then does it really matter if it has only one game.

By the times hpiment two is coming, buyers will have now two games. Zelda and Mario Kart?  I dont' know the release schedule. By the time shipment 3 comes out, add splatoon 2 to that list. (again rough guessing from memory)

As you said shipment 1 will be sold out regardless. With mario kart and zelda (and some others) it's not a stretch to say that shipment 2 should sell decent if not also sell out. By shipment 3 you have a very good line-up of games out and looking at the schedule there is more good games coming out basically monthly.

The Wii U had the problem of having a ton of games on release and then nothing for months. And most of those games were already palyable on 360/p3/one/ps4 and thus you probably just purchased them on a system you already own if you didn't buy the Wii U at launch. So in the following months what was the incentive to buy a WIi U? nothign was coming out. You played basically everythign it has to offer on something else.

Splatoon 2 still has a lot to prove in order for me to call it a great addition to the launch line up.  Was the first one a flash in the pan kind of success or can it be sustained?  I am guessing it will be great, but it has potential not to be.  Mario Kart 8 Deluxe I would certainly include, though tentatively because it is essentially a remaster/port.  So we have 2 games that are great, one that is probably going to be great, and then a bunch of not much hanging around.  To me that still isn't a great launch line up.  It doesn't hit any target other than "Nintendo Fan" that well.  Having a couple of solid third party games launch within those timeframes would go a very large way.  Sports games, military shooters, RPGs, other titles that fill other demographic roles outside of the casual (1-2 Switch) and the Nintendo groups are what would make it a good launch lineup.

Edit: and with a few of the new IPs they do have dropping it will be fun to do this exercise again in six months to see if the launch lineup surprised people like myself.  I can see a game like Arms (which I have zero interest in) pulling a Splatoon this year and coming out of nowhere to critical and commercial success.  I don't see it as that likely, but it isn't impossible.  Same with any number of games in the lineup that looks weak.