PS5 release date predicted...

[KBG29]

Intrinsic said:

KBG29 said:
I don't see any way a true PS5 can be delivered before 2023 - 2024. I can see a PS4 Spec 3 in 2019 - 2020, but the tech is just not there for a typical generational leap. Sony may use the PS5 name in 2019, but what we get will be a total deviation of past generations. If we get PS5 in 2019 - 2020, then we we are just getting iterative products with new names, as opposed to iterations within a generation.

Basically I see no way for us to have a real next gen console until we have 8x to 16x the RAM of PS4, just like we have had 16x every PS generation before. I also can't see a real next gen without SSD as a standard in all consoles.

Going forward I would expect to see PS4 Spec 3 in 2019 - 2020, with a 10 - 12 TFLOP APU, 16GB GDDR5, and a 2TB 5400RPM HDD.

Then in 2023 - 2024 I can see PS5 launching with a 25 - 30 TFLOP APU, 64GB HBM RAM (Minimum), and a 4TB SSD on SATA Express.

But the tech is there...... and the kinda specs you are asking for are ridiculously unnecesarry lol.

APU, Ram and storage. Those are three areas that improvements need to be made to dictate a shift towards a new generation.

with 7nm fabrication, we can have an APU with a GPU with well over 16TF. Compared to the PS4 launched in 2013, thats a 8.8x increase in power. And this is just looking at the GPU alone. You can expect to see at least a 3-4 times jump in power on the CPU end of things too.

What you are likely to end up with is a

 

• Ryzen+ 8 core CPU@2.5-3Ghz paired with 16TF navi GPU
•  16GB HBM2 ram with a bandwidth of 512GB/s-1TB/s
• seperate 4GB (single chip) of DDR4 ram dedicated to the OS
• 1TB m.2 SSD (this could be on the sata 3 standard averaging 500MB/s speeds or the nvme pcie3 standard averaging 1.2GB/s speeds.

 

That wouldn't be bad, but it is still not really worthy of the PS5 branding IMO. I still expect the leaps we have had from generations past, but perhapps that is unrealistic going forward. People want the number of the unit to go up, and they want it in the 5 - 7 year range. If that is what Sony has to do to keep the most people happy, then I am all for that. I just know that it is iterative steps instead of generational steps going forward if we stick with that 5 - 7 year span. IMO, that shift should go from a single console, to the focus being on the OS and a family of products built around it on a scalable hardware architecture. The PS4 OS and tech could scale and last for 10 years until we could get a truly jaw dropping leap in tech, but it appears most people want half step, and then they can complain about how small of a leap it is between PS4 and PS5.

Just curious, what kind of specs would you expect from  a console in 2024?