DFC Intelligence Believes Nintendo Switch Can Shift 40 Million Units by 2020

[zorg1000]

curl-6 said:

Soundwave said:

They decided to let the Wii U die because rescuing the 3DS caused them extreme pain (first loss in company history), they weren't willing to do it twice within 2 years. 

Switch will get Nintendo's full focus this gen, it's their "only child" this gen. 

There is no 3DS safety blanket, 3DS is old as balls, by 2018/19 it won't have any future left, and even for all the bruhaha over a "3DS resurgance" it's fairly modest and still selling well under 10 mill a year. There's a few sales Nintendo can squeeze out of 2017 from the 3DS but that's about it. 

But if they continue to support 2 systems "just until Switch takes off", that may actually prevent it from ever taking off. By the time they finally cut 3DS loose, Switch may have missed its chance and become what Wii U was by 2015, a system irrevocably tainted by the image of being a "failed system".

I went over this in your other thread a couple days ago. Most of the currently known Nintendo-published games on 3DS this year are outsourced or ports while most of the Nintendo-published titles on Switch are by internal teams and subsidiaries.

3DS-Yoshi & Poochy (port by Good-Feel), Mario Sports Superstars (Namco & Camelot), Fire Emblem Echoes (Intelligent Systems, a subsidiary), Pikmin 3DS (Arzest?), Ever Oasis (Grezzo), Fire Emblem Warriors (Omega Force & Team Ninja)

Switch-Breath of the Wild (internal studio), 1-2 Switch (internal studio), Mario Kart Deluxe (internal studio), ARMS (internal studio), Splatoon 2 (internal studio), Fire Emblem Warriors (Omega Force & Team Ninja), Xenoblade 2 (Monolith, a subsidiary), Mario Odyssey (internal studio)

Its pretty clear that Nintendo has moved most of its resources to Switch.

I dont think its a wait until Switch takes off scenario, i believe its more like at the current price and size, Switch isnt a suitable substitute for 3DS at the moment and it still has one solid year left anyway. I feel pretty strongly that there will be a $199, 5" screen, portable only Switch model by holiday 2018 and by then 3DS support and sales will have dried up.