curl-6 said:
If they refuse to cut the price like they did with Wii U, I'd say even the 10-20 million range is within the realm of possibility. Given all the factors it seems to have against it at the moment, 40 million by 2020 would be a big win in my opinion. |
I don't think there's a chance in hell this thing sells like the Wii U, given what we know now, even without price drops. Switch has a much better line up of exclusives from launch until Holiday than any console in recent memory had in their first year. It's branding is clear, it has a steady cadence of big first party releases, and people actually like the hardware. There is a positive buzz around the Switch, even after that terrible conference, that didn't exist with the Wii U. Ev
I think it'll do 50m at the absolute worst. As in no Pokémon and no price drop. No third party support and crappy online features. And I'd consider that an abject failure on Nintendo's part, but it will be no Wii U failure. At it's absolute worse, it's still a desirable piece of tech that people who have no business being attracted to Nintendo stuff are being attracted to.
Now obviously it will get a Pokémon and it will get price drops. The Wii U didn't get a price drop because it was sold at a loss and was still selling poorly. There was no business benefit to selling at a worse loss. Switch is likely the opposite - being sold at a healthy profit and selling respectably. They'll have room to cut the price where the Wii U did not.
