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Ck1x said:
Kerotan said:

Ps4 and XB1 will probably both double their curreznt totals before the end of the gen.  I disagree with that. 

Sure because people are buying multiple consoles and variations of those systems! The current install bases and the way games sell on those systems don't reflect 50 million or 26 million unique owners... I mean think about it, how many people who bought launch PS4's or XbOne's have gone out and purchased PS4 slim, PRO or XbOne S?

Truth. People assume the same thing for 3DS. How many unique users do we assume that platform has. My guess is closer to the 40 million mark than 60, which is reflected in sales numbers for software. 

 

In most cases, I would say roughly half of the sales for reiterations are upgrades rather than customers who are new to the ecosystem altogether. 

 

Another interesting question: How many day one Switch buyers won't have owned a Wii U? 

 

10...20%? 

 

Over a sixth month period, I'm sure that percentage will rise. At the start, though. All these pre-orders are Nintendo faithful. They don't tell us much about long term success.



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