"Nintendo switch is too expensive"

[greenmedic88]

I've more or less convinced myself that the BoM that yields the $299 MSRP has a price cut built into it.

Granted, I'm taking this from the 3DS as a direct example and comparison, but if the launch is modest, and a balls to the wall March launch would make almost zero sense, I fully expect inventory to be more than a bit pinched at retail not entirely unlike the Wii.

With the 3DS, Nintendo launched with a $249 MSRP, which was aggressive for what it was, ignoring the 3D feature that in all fairness used mature technology that added little to the BoM. It should have come as no surprise that Nintendo dropped the MSRP within a year although that trigger was pulled in direct reaction to the price announcement of the PS Vita. Still, that was an $80 price cut, which indicates just how much profit was built into each 3DS on launch.

Given the similarities of the Switch with the Nvidia Shield, it shouldn't be difficult for analysts to do a fairly accurate BoM cost analysis to see exactly what goes into a $299 game tablet with controllers.

If we get a confirmation on a limited launch, limited inventory/availability come March, that right there will speak volumes about what I'm assuming is a slight premium price for the hardware specs used.

I could potentially even see Nintendo doing stock building for the holiday '17 season, slightly restricting inventory further and then releasing inventory in Q4, very possibly at a $249 price for Black Friday.