My suspicion of a potential price drop within the first year, even with robust sales would be supported by the fairly exorbitant prices on accessories like extra joy pads, docks, etc.
Even if the core unit dropped to $250 just in time for the 2017 holiday season, the prices on the accessories would make up the margins for Nintendo.
Assuming the limited release inventory has been pinched at retail through most of 2017, leading to perceived shortages and scarcity, an inventory build up for the 2017 holiday season, paired with a cut to $250 could very well lead to a big 2017 holiday season for Nintendo.
It's all speculation based upon a series of "must happens" but this wouldn't be the first time Nintendo has played this retail strategy.
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