For the 360 - Should it really be doing well for a system that's 19 months old and still $400? Not really. Thats why sales have dipped.
Nice way to quote me, I said blockbusters. Only Forza 2 is anywhere close to that sort of assumption, and it did end up increasing sales in Europe for a week or two. Outside of FM2, there have not been any true blockbusters that would indeed entice new buyers to the system(s).
And when I made my statement, I was looking far in to the future to the August and September release schedules of the PS3/360, not just 3 months.
Your numbers, yet again, are way too low for the 360, and most likely for the PS3, if it does get a price drop + MGS4. But who knows, maybe this could indeed be the worst-selling year in history for video games as of late, as your predicting. If your numbers were the case, we'd have just under 20 million consoles sold this year. During the PS2 generation, sale averages were around 25m.
According to NPD, hardware has indeed been up YOY vs. 2006, and is mirrored in Japan as well. Wii has brought new life to the console market there, and will continue to do such.
But again, everything is just a prediction, not fact. And everything is subject to change, even my and your numbers.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
