Up YOY with ~ a mid gen upgrade and a slim revision, with a price cut.
Amidst increasingly stiff competition from Microsoft (a factor no one has mentioned that I've read) and a holiday of poorly launched/recieved games (looking at you Titanfall, Call of Duty)
PlayStation did have a lot of things going for it but it also had a lot of things working against it and it still managed to pull off YoY growth. We know that in 2017 Sonys biggest new IP Horizon will launch, we know the competition will be much less fierce for at least the first 9 months this year (I don't see any reason to buy an Xbox, more so now than before with Scorpio looming and a lack of exclusive software) and there will be exclusive after exclusive padding out the year. Your analysis makes sense OP, 20 million seems optimistic but it should get close.
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