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h2ohno on 01 January 2017
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maxleresistant said:
Slarvax said:

I just don't understand how a system with Pokemon, Zelda, Mario (and all of its spin-offs), Splatoon, Kirby, Pikmin, Animal Crossing, DKC, some 3rd party exclusives and isn't expensive can sell less than 15 million units.

Edit: Actually, I'll take bets. The Switch will outsell the Wii U LT with just Japan in 3 years (or before 2020).

Of course it will, but its not replacing just the wiiU. Now its pretty sure Nintendo has a back up plans in case of switch not selling enough, they would be awfully dumb to not have one, otherwise they are putting all their eggs into one basket.

So the way we can really mesure the switch success right now, with all Nintendo is saying today, is not by comparing it to the wiiU, but the 3ds, or 3ds+WiiU.

That is the real issue.  It will not be a Wii U failure, but it's form factor means outdoing the Wii U several times over may not be good enough.  It probably needs to outsell the SNES to be considered a big success, and it is unknown at the moment if it can.