Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - December 18th - 25th 2016

[Kerotan]

Boutros said:

Kerotan said:

You know it's a tricky one.  Kerotan "The great predictor of our time"  called 2016 for the ps4 multiple times.  I always maintained a big 2016 for hardware.  One that would rival the ps3's biggest year.  I predicted ~1.8m for mediacreate.  

 

Having modestly said all the above,  I must say I'm intrigued by 2017 vs 2016. We don't have a FFVX, P5 or Y6. We don't have a Pro launch,  slim launch and 2016 had a price cut. 

 

Now how could 2017 compete with that?  Let's list what it has going for it.  

 

Hardware:

1. Ps4 slim/pro selling for full year.  Better baseline early on perhaps?  

2. Ps4 pro actually in stock meeting demand.  

3. Psvr in stock and meeting demand could push more units.  

4. Ps4/pro $50 price cut next fall.  Getting really close to that sweet spot.  

 

Software:

RE7

Gran Turismo Sport 

Hot shots golf 

Nioh 

RDR2 

Battfront 2

New cod 

Gravity Rush 2

DQ11, KH3, FF7 (I expect 1 and maybe 2 of these) 

Gundam Vs 

YS8

KH final chapter 

KH collection 

Nier 

Another big point as you've said is less ps3 ports.  

 

So basically many 100-300k titles with a few bigger ones.  Unannounced titles too for the end of the year.  Could be anything from builders 2 to a MH5 ps4 version announced. 

 

2016 vs 2017 will be an interesting battle. Do you have figures for the ps3's next year after its peak of 1.8m?

The PS3 did 1.5m in 2010.

I want to add some to your list because I think the PS4's real selling point is simply the amount of 100k-300k games it has.

Ace Combat 7
Crash Bandicoot N. Sane Trilogy (that could do very low but it could also do decent considering how popular the series once was in Japan)
Final Fantasy XII: The Zodiac Age
Knack 2 (may not reach 100k XD)
Ni no Kuni II: Revenant Kingdom
Valkyria Revolution
Horizon Zero Dawn
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III

None of those are big hitters but they don't need to be to sell PS4s.

Plus a few western titles which will no doubt surprise us.  

 

So all year I've been cheering for the ps4 to prove the doubters wrong and beat the ps3's best year 1.8m. It happened.  

 

Next year I cheer for 1.5m!