zorg1000 said:
Well that's also assuming that there will not be Switch owners who didn't own a 3DS or Wii U. It might be a difficult task but it is possible that the number of non-3DS/Wii U owning Switch owners can potentially offset the number of people who own a 3DS & Wii U. |
It's possible but they will need I think a new franchise hit to break out for that to happen. These types of things don't happen with a new franchise becoming a big player to drive hardware sales (see: Pokemon on Game Boy, Wii Sports on Wii, Halo on XBox, etc.).
I'm just saying the idea of 3DS + Wii U being an actual tangiable audience is a false premise. There's probably only a handful of actual Wii U only owners, as the people willing to buy the Wii U are likely Nintendo's most ardent fans and as such they almost certainly have a 3DS as well in many cases.
If Nintendo can sell even 90% of the 3DS marketshare + lets throw in 4-5 million for Wii U owners .... that would be a success IMO. You can't compare last gen to this coming gen without accounting for the dramatic difference in tablet/smartphone adoption and influence amongst kids.
If Switch can sell the same as the 3DS that would be a victory because Nintendo will likely have to work harder to get that. Like I said it's like walking on an incline versus walking on a flat road.
