PS4 has beaten the SNES in Sales (NES next target)

[pray4mojo]

CGI-Quality said:

pray4mojo said:

I'm basing it on two things. The sales arch and the fact that we're entering year four of a (likely) 6 year cycle. The PS2, in year three, peaked. The PS4 just spent it's third year and it's barely half way to 100 million. Traditional sales data shows that sales will decline each year going forward. So, basic logic says that it's probably not going to get there before the next console comes out. This means that in order to sell 100 million units, it's going to have to sell 15-25 million while PS5 is out, and that is something we just don't see anymore in console gaming. 

The math just isn't there. I could be wrong though. We'll see.

The math is very much there, especially considering that the PS4 has ket up with the PS2 and just saw the release of two key systems. It'll also be in more markets than the PS2 was.

Nothing suggests that sort of decline at this time. It's wishful thinking, at best.

Nothing suggests that sort of decline... apart from every major home console ever released. Unless PS4 manages to be the first console in history to keep it's first three year pace for almost 6 straight years, it's not going to happen. 

In the first three years after the PS3 launched, the PS2 sold roughly 35 million units. The PS3 has managed to sell 13 in comparison. The PS4 is going to have to either be the first console in history to keep it's first three year sales level for 5-6 years, or it's going to have to sell at PS2 levels post PS5. Either way, that's asking alot.