CGI-Quality said:
Then you must be expecting a major drop off. It'll end the year no lower than 52 million (in just three years - one of the fastest of all time). With this thing likely to sell for, at least, another five, missing at least 48 million more means the drop off will be substantial. That's never happened to a PlayStation before, so what leads you to this conclusion now? |
I'm basing it on two things. The sales arch and the fact that we're entering year four of a (likely) 6 year cycle. The PS2, in year three, peaked. The PS4 just spent it's third year and it's barely half way to 100 million. Traditional sales data shows that sales will decline each year going forward. So, basic logic says that it's probably not going to get there before the next console comes out. This means that in order to sell 100 million units, it's going to have to sell 15-25 million while PS5 is out, and that is something we just don't see anymore in console gaming.
The math just isn't there. I could be wrong though. We'll see.
