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fedfed said:
Isn't this the 3rd upgrade of the console?

so we think it is going to do 50 mil from now in 3 years?

Second upgrade. And yeah, PS4 should easily reach 100 Million+.

PS4 should be around 55 Million by the end of the year.  Safe to assume 2017 will have another 20 Million sold, with GT Sport, Crash Collection, Horizon, GoW + a possible price cut. 

If Sony launches the PS5 in 2018 (very unlikely), PS4 will need another 20 Million in 2018 and 2019, which wouldn't be hard to reach, with the developing markets, price cut boosts YoY, and games like TLoU2, Death Stranding, KH3, FF7 Remake giving sales spikes.