Zelda: Breath of the Wild Sales Predictions

[curl-6]

Wyrdness said:

curl-6 said:

All that momentum though, all the mass appeal and pop culture phenomenon of the Wii and all the insane hype behind TP as the spiritual successor to one of the most beloved games of all time, (Ocarina) and it still didn't even get close to 11 million.

Xbox and FF are a prime example that even adding tens of millions of consumers to one's userbase can still fail to raise the sales ceiling of a franchise.

It outsold OOT which was the highest selling Zelda game and became the top selling game in the franchise that's a massive impact especially when OOT is the one of the industry's historical darling, 9m maybe 2m shy of 11m but that was just off the console userbase. When we factor in another userbase in the mix 11m becomes a possibilty because as seen with FF on Xbox they gathered an extra 2-3m sales.

On the contrary it's a prime example of why adding tens of millions of consumers raises the ceiling as they gathered an extra 2-3m sales, if BOTW gathers an extra 2-3m sales it'll break the ceiling.

FF adding 86 million to its base through Xbox 360 didn't raise the ceiling though; the sales ceiling for the franchise was 9.72 million, set by FF7 on PS1. FF13 sold 7.49 copies across PS3 and 360, so it still fell short.

Not all of the 2 million Xbox 360 buyers can even be considered additions; a lot of them would have just bought the game on PS3 if it hadn't come to 360.