Zelda: Breath of the Wild Sales Predictions

[maxleresistant]

mZuzek said:

maxleresistant said:

it is, but some people on this thread are giving crazy numbers like 13 or 12 millions. That will never happen... I can predict the Zelda franchise will never sell that much in one episode. At least not without some really really big changes.

It's funny because Breath of the Wild is actually bringing some really really big changes.

Also, it's hard to defend your point about the install base. Twilight Princess sold 8 million on an install base of around 120m consoles... well Ocarina of Time sold 7 million on an install base 4 times smaller. Wind Waker was the most controversial Zelda at its time and on an even smaller install base, still sold 5 million.

Zelda games aren't largely influenced by install bases, that much is a fact and has always been. They don't sell to people who own the system, they sell the system to people.

That was implied, that's why I went for 5.8, and wrote that it will go somewhere from 4 to 7 millions. The install base is a factor, but it's not THE FACTOR.

That's also why I said that it will never sell 12 or 13 millions, because it will need to sell on a console with an install base of 200+ millions to do that.

As for Breath of the Wild changes, yes there are a lot of them, but to sell 13 millions you'll have to change a lot more. Games that are selling these kind of numbers are nothing like Zelda.