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Nuvendil said:
Chris Hu said:

 

Nope, most people keep the same ideology throughout their lifetime. A major swing from on point to another usually only occurs when people remove the shackels of religion from their lives or for some dumb reason become born again religious. Plus the map doesn't tell the whole picture since it doesn't include the fact that there a lot more minority voters among young people and the Republican is still mostly only appeals to Caucasians. Most Republican gatherings have about as many minorities at them as NASCAR races.

...What?  People's views change all the time throughout their lives.  Shoot, elections show this.  Youth voting left is a long running thing.  Yet we still have a pretty consistent swing back and fofth and the split in voting is still pretty close.  Which means no, people don't hold on to the same exact political stance their whole lives.  And 18 to 25 is, for most, the first time they form their own stand alone worldview, so the fact they'll often change after that isn't surprising at all.  And this idea that there's just two worldviews - religious and non religious - and that you only ever swing when going between them is ludicrous and grossly misrpresents the variety f worldviews each of those encompasses, much less how worldview and political leanings influence each other.

 

Nope, actually elections are a terrible indicator of changing views since most of the time less then 50% of all eligible voters actually vote the same block of voters participating in consecutive elections is very unlikely. If the voter turnout is low it favors Republican candidates if the voter turnout is high it favors Democratic candidates.