How Much Does the Switch Need to Sell to be Considered a Success?

[vivster]

pokoko said:
A lot is going to depend on software sales. They're saving money by consolidating platforms but they'll need a high attach rate for it to be worthwhile. I'm not saying it needs to be as high as handheld+console numbers but it will need to be a good deal higher than either one alone--that shouldn't be hard with the Wii U but I don't know about the 3DS. If they end up selling way less overall hardware and way less overall software, then this will be a failed experiment.

That being said, I think dedicated Nintendo fans will keep them afloat, at the very least, plus those who were on the fence over Nintendo devices previously. I do not believe they'll hit pay-dirt with the young adult casuals they targeted with the reveal, however.

I think they'll be content with 40 million and a good, healthy attach rate. Not happy, but content.

The hybrid approach should be synergistic for software sales. Console people will finally be able to play the handheld titles and vice versa. So I expect software sales per hardware unit should be higher than on the separate devices.