Why this generation has already been decided

[StarcraftManiac]

muhfuhkuh said:

johnlucas said:

There's not a damn thing the competition can do to stop the WiiDS Phenomenon. Nothing. No big blockbuster games, no heralded exclusives. Nothing. Yeah it will give them a little profile and then they return to their mortal forms. Wii only gets stronger as the clock ticks on. Plain and simple.

They will sell AT LEAST 20 Million worldwide by year's end.

They will outsell the record-breaking numbers of the PS2 worldwide going on to be the world's greatest selling console...they will DOUBLE IT (as Crank Yankers' Niles Standish says). AT LEAST Double it. They could go further and probably will but they will at least double it.

The Wii will surpass the NES in every respect successwise and in terms cultural impact. It is after all the second coming of the NES. The realization of the TRUE Family Computer.

 Wii is on pace to hit 10 Million units in a year, which is where PS2 was same time in its cycle. There isn't a Nintendo system, not legacy, not new, not handheld, that has approached PSX, let alone PS2, in units sold. Take even all Gameboy Advance (GBA, GBA SP, Micro) combined and it doesn't touch PS1.  Forget about PS2; it almost doubles GBA. And, we're talking a $99 handheld vs. a ~$200 console (launch prices).

Now, let's look at sales growth compared to history. You're willing to wager that in the Wii's lifetime, it will DOUBLE sales of any Playstation (1 or 2). You believe Wii to be a cultural phenomenon on the scale of NES. Well, aside form the fact the the NES sold 45 million units LESS than the PS1, you're going to now declare that Wii will QUADRUPLE NES sales? 

 Put it in this perspective: For Nintendo to double the PS2 in units sold, it will need to sell 240 million units. That will be a feat I'd love to see. I'll write that out in numerals:

 240,000,000

 Let's further tempt fate and say you meant the DS will sell 240 million units. Okay, well, looking at lifespan, the DS debuted in 2004. The DS and it's newest iteration, DS Lite, have been on the market for 3 years now and combined sales for both units year-to-date has been around 45 Million units. By comparison, the PS2 debuted in 2000, and three years into PS2 lifespan, the console sold ~53 million units. So, in 4 more years, to reach the same age as the PS2, you expect the DS to sell 200,000,000 more units. You really think there are that many people in woodworks that will buy that DS in that many numbers in the next 4 years? Pretty significant number.

I bought the NES, first-gen Gameboy (with Tetris), and the SNES. And, I can tell you, that it would be a very tall order for Nintendo to reach 240,000,000 units of any one console or handheld. Not impossible, but a very tall order.

 

Lol... GB And GBC?!