As long as hardcore and old style markets didn't shrink, Sony and MS still have hope to fare quite well, but it's nearly impossible they win, the winner is Wii. Perhaps, giving PS3 a very long life, PS3 will be able to catch Wii, but in a very distant future and after Wii has gone out of production and ther will be already Wii2, should it go this way, PS3 would have satisfaction in its late years like PS2 is still having now, but, as opposed as its older sister, not having enjoyed leadership when its gen was the latest.