sc94597 said:
Konnichiwa, Have you ever read Sean Malstrom's articles on disruption , and blue ocean. There is a link in my sig if you haven't. Well think of it like this. Nintendo starts out by targetting the non gamers, to get them started in gaming. Then after they captured the casual market, they slowly try to make this market play more and more hardcore games, by making the hardcore games friendly to the casuals in the form of bridge titles.This is called moving upmarket from the downmarket, and is the easiest way to disrupt a market. Now not all casuals will move up market, but a good deal of the younger casuals such as children who haven't played games much, or young adults in their 20s who have never played games. The grandparents, and parents are the movers. So the problem is half the third parties are confused and are waiting for a guinea pig to make success on the wii, and the other half think the answer is to make casual games forever. There are some such as sega who are seeing what nintendo is doing, but others just think spamming casual games will work. Once these mini games become saturated and don't sell well anymore, they are going to pay close attention to what nintendo is doing. They are going to find out the way of disruption and move upmarket, and then once these developers start to become succesful. The ones who are just waiting for something to happen will follow their steps. I don't see a big flush of third party support, rather than it will gradually get better and better until it's huge. This is what happend to the ds, and is what is happening to the wii. Well this is how I understand Malstrom's articles anyway.
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And how long will it take? 1 year? 3 Years?
If we are talking about the Western devs I don't see them skipping to the Wii and make the majority of their good 3D party games to the Wii.
The Japanese devs probably will skip to the Wii I agree with that though.
And Yups the DS is a good example => Lots of new 3D party games coming but allmost all of them are from Japanese devs with some exceptions like Sonic RPG.








