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tbone51 on 29 October 2016
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Ryng_Tolu said:
tbone51 said:

I dont think theyll overship it by that much. If the games for example ship+digital 9mil first week, itll have sold thru of probably 8mil with a second shipment of 2mil the following week.

 

Ive been to every pokemon mainline launch and its always like, if it does do 10mil first 2 weeks we can expect a sold thru of 9mil with another mil or 2 shipped right afterward

Pokémon ORAS shipped 7.7 million first week, and then 9.25 million by end of 2014, so only 1.55 million in December.

It sold 3 million first week, second week was 300k in Japan, was second week in USA too but was Blackfriday, so of course should have been way stronger second week than Japan, and was Europe launch (+150k in UK, +190k in France)... let's say it sold about 1.5 million second week (esimate, not official), that's about 4.5 million second week, a difference of 3.7 million with official shipments , or only a < 60% of the total shipments.

 

Trusth me, they will overship it at launch. If we talk about shipments, my guess is +12million in November, +4million in December, for a total of 16-16.5million in 2016.

Interesting prediction. Kinda high but thats my style lmao.

 

Oras did 3mil fw? I need to do more research. Im going to post a full on prediction as well. Can you find fw and maybe 2nd/3rd week numbers for japan on XY and ORAS?

 

Also NPD for XY and Oras. I need to do some digging