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My first thoughts were around 9m first year but could be more depending on the game library we see, Having Monster Hunter XX as a launch title and possibility of a Pokemon game as well as maybe? Sun/Moon (?) hitting the device in time for holiday 2017 could definitely push sales quite a lot and the Zelda hype is not only big with Nintendo fans but outside of it and could attract Xbox/PS users to the Switch.

Probably better to revisit this topic after 12th January and we should get a better idea of what to expect.