As always a brilliant thread from you.
Considering the points you brought and the intention of Pro and Scorpio to prolong the life of the gen I do expect it to be longer than PS2 era but smaller than X360 era... unless of course the Pro and Scorpio provide a big bump, which I don't expect.
Could do a similar analysis for SW, because on that front I believe this gen is considerably higher.

duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."







