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Wyrdness said:
curl-6 said:

It's worth noting that while the combined userbase of 3DS and Wii U may currently represent about 73 million systems, it doesn't represent 73 million actual consumers, as a lot of Wii U owners are also 3DS owners, and a lot of 3DS owners will own more than one model.

So even if everyone who bought an 8th gen Nintendo system buys a Switch, that's still probably quite a bit less than 70 million. And that's before you factor in that, inevitably, some Wii U/3DS owners will not get a Switch.

I don't mean to rain on everyone's parade, I'm just suggesting a little caution for the moment. Remember, a lot of people predicted Wii U would sell over 70 million. Let's not get carried away before we even know its price and software.

Switch can also sell to those who never bought either platform though (one example being Vita owners) so again it's not wild prediction, if priced right I can see it doing fine because it doesn't have brand confusion like the Wii U, the concept is much clearer than with Wii U and it's very likely it'll have a unified library unlike Wii U. Remember a lot of people also wrote off the Wii as well.

Every sale not from a Nintendo fan will have to be clawed from the fingers of Playstation/Xbox/mobile, and that's an uphill battle. Not to say they won't win some over, but it's far from a given. As for the unified library, Nintendo announcing they'll continue supporting 3DS kinda kills that idea.