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Mummelmann said:
They'll tuck away a few hundred thousand every month for holidays stockpiling, having seen how quickly the supply ran dry last christmas.
I'm not so sure this christmas will be incredibly much bigger than last though, maybe 15-20%.

Maybe but I think they are a little better prepared for this upcoming holiday season than last.  Remember last year's sold out throughout the year was a surprise, even to Nintendo.  No surprised now and now correct stockpilings and allocations can be done to better provide certain strategic times with more supplies.