By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Nem on 25 October 2016
Edit Thread
Soundwave said:
Nem said:
It really won't.

It's too big to be seen as a popular portable.
Its too weak to be a popular home console.

It's a cute Nintendo system, but i don't see it blowing up to 100m, even if it manages to take off and they phase their portable market into it... i don't see it doing more than 40-50m.

I think Nintendo would be relatively happy with 50 million. Considering the DS-to-3DS transition cost them like 80 million lost sales in that transition, if they can stem the bleeding from 60-65 million 3DS' to 50 million Switch units, they'll be relatively pleased I think. 

Plus their console franchises will finally have a good size userbase to sell to, the Wii U's low userbase was killing them internally I think it was driving them crazy. They were spending more money to make the games but having a lower userbase to sell them to, getting back to at least a Super NES userbase size would be good. 

To get to that 100 million range you need to have some kind of new IP (or two or three) blow up and really take you there. 

All the Mario & Zelda & Pokemon in the world doesn't get you to 100 million, Nintendo would need something new to really blow up like Wii Sports or Pokemon for the Game Boy. 

I think they would aswell. But tbh, that was my most generous prediction. In reality i'm still unconvinced it will do much better than the Wii U and the GC. Maybe if they have an actual strong flow of software this time around. But, i'm pretty sure western 3rd party support will dry up really fast as usual.