(Update: 100 million mark reached!)Prediction:Switch will go on to sell 100+ million units

[DM235]

Nautilus said:

DM235 said:
I can confidently say that it will sell zero units this year (pre-orders don't count).

I can also confidently say that the launch NS SKU will not sell anywhere close to 100 million units.

If the NS launches at $199, it will sell 40+ million units. If it launches at $250 or more, it will sell less than 25 million units (basically just to the Nintendo fanbase). I think this will hold true no matter what the other specs are (hardware specs, online capabilities, battery life, etc).

Why?Because its a Nintendo console?You think people will see the Switch and, lets say its the perfect system and gets everything right, says "oh  its Nintendo, I dont want to buy it".Please give me an actual reason other than that.

Because it is launching in the middle of a generation where it is 40 million units behind the market leader (PS4).  A PS4 can also be purchased for $299 with a bundled game (Uncharted), and where it already has a vast library of games.  If Nintendo launches the Switch at the same price point, it will repeat what the Wii U did and only sell to the Nintendo fanbase.  At $199, it has a chance to sell to everyone as a second console.