Repost: Emily Rogers "Why you should be excited about (Switch)’s software output"

[zorg1000]

Lawlight said:

zorg1000 said:

History and trends mean jack shit, if they could accurately predict sales than Wii would have sold less than GC, PS3 would have had over 70% marketshare like PS1/PS2 did, PSP would have taken over the handheld market from Nintendo like they did with consoles instead of DS dominating and the Xbox brand would have went the way of CD-i, 3DO, Apple Pippin since no American company had a successful console in over 20 years.

Last generation is proof that history and trends dont mean anything when talking about future success/failures.

Wii was a fad and an outlier and, along, with the DS captured an audience that is never ever coming back.

You're telling me that no one saw the 3DS and WiiU sales situation coming? I know I did. So stop using the exceptions to prove your point. Unless you're saying the Switch can make people stop carrying smartphones around or that people will move from the PS4 or X1 to the Switch. Think those things can happen?

I gave you a whole list of "outliers" yet you decide to focus on just one.

You cant just disregard anything that doesnt support your argument.

Sega Genesis was an outlier, no other Sega device has sold over 15 million.

Gameboy was an outlier, no other device has ever had its best sales year a decade after launch.

Wii was an outlier, all Nintendo consoles had sold less than their predeccessor up to that point.

360 was an outlier, no American made console had ever sold over 40 million.

PSP was an outlier, no other non-Nintendo portable gaming device had ever been successful.

PS3 was an outlier, both previous PS consoles had over 70% marketshare.

At some point you have to realize, these arent "outliers" and that the gaming industry doesnt simply follow trends.

Let me guess, if Switch is successful than it will be an outlier as well?