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zorg1000 said:
Lawlight said:

There's plenty to base sales on - history and trends being a couple of those.

History and trends mean jack shit, if they could accurately predict sales than Wii would have sold less than GC, PS3 would have had over 70% marketshare like PS1/PS2 did, PSP would have taken over the handheld market from Nintendo like they did with consoles instead of DS dominating and the Xbox brand would have went the way of CD-i, 3DO, Apple Pippin since no American company had a successful console in over 20 years.

Last generation is proof that history and trends dont mean anything when talking about future success/failures.

Wii was a fad and an outlier and, along, with the DS captured an audience that is never ever coming back.

You're telling me that no one saw the 3DS and WiiU sales situation coming? I know I did. So stop using the exceptions to prove your point. Unless you're saying the Switch can make people stop carrying smartphones around or that people will move from the PS4 or X1 to the Switch. Think those things can happen?