IMHO, the Switch will launch for roughly $299 US, will immediately sell out upon launch (uh-duh), and will be scarce in most markets throughout 2017 due to a combination of it being the hot new thing and new Zelda + Mario and possibly Pokemon in the same year. For March-Dec 2017, the Switch will sell as many units as Nintendo can produce... 10m-12m, perhaps?
The big question is 2018 and beyond... can Nintendo keep the momentum up with a continuous stream of titles as well as at least decent 3rd party support, and will it continue to be incredibly popular with general gaming audiences? If it does, I can see the console (and its multiple variations of course) doing 80+ million lifetime.
If not, then it'll probably do below 3DS numbers, roughly 45-50m max.
For now, I'm going to go right in the middle and say ~60m lifetime.
On 2/24/13, MB1025 said:
You know I was always wondering why no one ever used the dollar sign for $ony, but then I realized they have no money so it would be pointless.
