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Ryng on 23 October 2016
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bluedawgs said:

Nah, I predicted Titanfall will sell a million

Yes and i said ON XBOX ONE. Unless you expect >65% of sales from XBO, you probabily expect Titanfall on Xbox one to sell less than Gears.

bluedawgs said:

Also, you know you're gonna be wrong with the Gears prediction so you might as well just change it now.

Oh, so you know what i'm thinking, and you know that i know i'm wrong. Is this a joke?

bluedawgs said:

Gears sells under 100k in the United Kingdom at launch which is at the very least 50k down from Halo 5's opening and obviusly won't sell as much as Halo 5 since Halo is bigger in the United States yet you predict Gears will sell more than Halo 5 stand alone did much more competition in the same month?

Gears tecnically sold less than 105k, not 100k, and i don't think it's much under that, anyway what you are missing is that we are talking about NPD SALES, not first week, Halo 5 got only 2 days of sales in October NPD, while Gears has almost an intere month of sales, yet i expect Gears in 3 weeks to sell less than Halo 5 in one week. And what the hell mean "you predict Gears will sell more than Halo 5 stand alone"? I predict TOTAL Gears of War sales will be worse than total Halo 5 sales, bundle including for both.

bluedawgs said:

No chance for 850k and you should know that considering how long you've been involved in sales discussion and how many predictions you've made

That's the most fun part.

Yes i'm into sales since years right now, and that's why I KNOW how unpredictable the market is, and i know how much is abused the word "no chance".

Right now i can make a list of billions and billions of "crazy predictions" which in the end turned out right or the most close to real, and how many times the word "no chance" is wrong.

In this case, if you really don't know what say, you expect Gears of War 4 to sell >650k in the first month in USA, if you think there are NO CHANCE for sells only < 30% more than what YOU predict, then i must say you are really confident in your prediction. For what say, Gears can do whatever 500k to 1.5 million first month, and whatever it sells i'm not gonna eat crow. So i really hope for you that the 650k prediction is right, in others ways, you'll have to eat some crow.