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tak13 said:
Kerotan said:

So as of now this generation Nintendo has sold around 70m units.  Between the Wii U and 3DS.  That will end up around 75-80m by the time they stop selling.  

 

IF (key word)  the Switch is a hybrid replacement for both consoles,  Nintendo need thr switch to sell about 80m or they face another decline.  

 

If it only sells 30-50m that's a pretty big decline.  It has its work cut out. Now if the 3DS gets a successor that's separate to this than you can add both of them together and hitting that 80m target will be a lot easier. 

My frog,  always go with shipments when you make that kind of  projection ( most of the time you sell what you have shipped, in the end) , so sell-in is better for lifetime sales prediction...

 3ds+wii u are at 73m as of june 2017,  so does the 75-80m range seem to you right? It could be at 75m as of September 2017...

Whatever the point still stands.  That's why I used the ~ symbol.