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So as of now this generation Nintendo has sold around 70m units.  Between the Wii U and 3DS.  That will end up around 75-80m by the time they stop selling.  

 

IF (key word)  the Switch is a hybrid replacement for both consoles,  Nintendo need thr switch to sell about 80m or they face another decline.  

 

If it only sells 30-50m that's a pretty big decline.  It has its work cut out. Now if the 3DS gets a successor that's separate to this than you can add both of them together and hitting that 80m target will be a lot easier.