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NX really shouldnt launch at over 249$ imo.
And I believe nintendo can manage that and still sell the NX at a slight profit.

The chip costs for a tegra mobile chip should be much lower than whats in a PS4 or XB1.
They dont need to spend any $ on a blu-ray drive, and they can use small cheap flash memory instead of supplying it with a HDD. Use of cartridges means dont need to install the games, just run them strait off of it.

Tablet with controller + docking station (thats basically just a chargeing port to sit the tablet in) for 249$.

I dont see why not.