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Yes, it's gauarnteed the Scorpion won't cost more than $399. If Sony is able to sell a 4.2 TFLOP machine in 2016 for $399 and make a profit, surely Microsoft will easily be able to sell a 6 TFLOP machine for the same price a whole year later even though they might have to take a small loss on each unit sold.

Also, since Sony most likely will have dropped the PS4 Pro to $349 by next holiday season, pricing the Scorpion at anyfing higher than $399 would be suicide.