Will sales of the Scorpio take a hit?

[Soundwave]

Lawlight said:

Soundwave said:
I think it will do well, I think it will be similar to how the XBox started to do in 2003/2004, even though the PS2 had a big lead, if you were paying attention you started to notice in the West that the XBox brand was gaining momentum and starting to sell on par even outsell the PS2 during certain months and also a lot of the top 10 software sold was on the XBox.

This momentum carried over to the XBox 360.

I think Scorpio will be similar, as this gen goes on, people will notice that it has the best multiplatform games, and if MS is smart they will invest money in making a few console exclusives that are the best looking games.

In 2003, the PS2 more than doubled the Xbox sales in the US. In fact, the Gamecube outsold the Xbox in 2003. It came close in 2004 though - PS2 still outsold it by 17%. In 2005, PS2 more than doubled the Xbox sales again.

The Xbox360 only gained marketshare because it had a 1 year headstart and much cheaper than the PS3. The PS3 still outsold it. The Scorpio will have neither the first move advantage nor the price advantage.

Well yes, the XBox being outsold in 2005 makes sense because MS was prepping for the XBox 360. But clearly they had built momentum and it had started to pay dividends by 2004 where it had begun to sell on par with the PS2 and by then even I started noticed kids starting to say "XBox" more than "Playstation" as their defacto gaming terminology. 

I think Scorpio will do something similar for MS, it will get them moving in the right direction by getting back 3rd party multiplatform superiority. This is vital to the XBox brand. 

In the US, the XBox was becoming the no.1 gaming brand, no question about it (globally is a different story) until MS made missteps with the XBox One launch.