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On disc space:

Many PS3 games re-use the same data on each level due to slow read times from the blu ray drive. Resistence is a good example, that game could have fit on a DL-DVD. I don't know if MGS 4 does this or not, but even with a 4.6GB install there's a good chance.

On sales:

Following GTA IV is going to be tough, especially if reviewers mark it anything less than GOTY.
Predicting 2 million lifetime.



PC + Wii owners unite.  Our last-gen dying platforms have access to nearly every 90+ rated game this gen.  Building a PC that visually outperforms PS360 is cheap and easy.    Oct 7th 2010 predictions (made Dec 17th '08)
PC: 10^9
Wii: 10^8