Now Do You Think Nintendo Will Reach 50% Market?

[Squilliam]

Grampy said:

Squilliam said:

Grampy said:

LongLiveTheBeatles said:

A more likely event is that the wii will continue selling at the current rate but losing a tiny bit of market share whenever a huge AAA game comes out for the PS3 or 360. I think it will level out at 48% and stay there will the PS3 at 27% and the 360 at 25%.

Oh, you mean like the Wii lost market share when GTA IV came out?

Dream on!

The Nintendo hasn't increased production yet. So you would have no way of knowing if that was true or not until the Wii has a consistant supply in the U.S

Sorry to be so slow but I just can' follow the logic there. LongLiveTheBeatles claimed that the Wii would lose market share whenever a AAA game came out on PS360. I rather sarcastic questioned on the basis that the Wii hadn't gone down as a result of GTA IV (AAA if there is such a thing) but in fact had increased.

Now you bring up the question of steady supply which is indeed an issue although I can only see it as artifically holding back Wii sales not increasing them. To me that means that the Wii might have lost  or gained LESS market share because of supply constraints artifically hiding an increaase that otherwise would have happpened but I do not see how it could artifically cause an increase. So when Wii's percentage went upduring GTA IV, the increase must have been real or possibly even more if supply constraints were involved.

 

Ok. If the Demand for the Wii is 1,000,000 per month, but the supply is only 800,000 per month. GTAIV is released and Demand falls to 900,000 or stays the same or rises to 1.2million Wiis per month. How will you know?

How much pent up demand is out there? They may have released half a million Wiis into the American market... can you prove they would not have otherwise sold out that week without MarioKart?